• nova_ad_vitum@lemmy.ca
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      10 months ago

      There’s various technicalities of how and where Beyesian statistics apply to the world but I really interpreted it as meaning “if the world is ending then it doesn’t matter and if not then I’m up $50”. The Beyesian is just ruthlessly practical.

      • Kogasa
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        10 months ago

        That is definitely not the joke. The joke is that the frequentist approach gives you a clearly nonsensical conclusion, because the prior probability of the sun exploding is extremely small.

      • callyral [he/they]@pawb.social
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        10 months ago

        Not only that, but there’s a higher chance of the detector lying than the Sun supernova-ing, so it’s probably a false positive. Yes I did just read some paragraphs from 3–4 Wikipedia articles.

      • SirSamuel@lemmy.world
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        10 months ago

        Thank you, I’ll check it out eventually

        BTW they call it Peach but it tastes like candle