As of 10:30am ET on November 11, populous states that have counted less than 95% of the expected votes include:
California (72% counted): current count is 7.27 million to 4.79 million.
Washington (91% counted): 2.07 million to 1.39 million.
Maryland (86%): 1.66 million to 0.97 million.
Oregon (87%): 1.16 million to 0.86 million.
Colorado (94%): 1.69 million to 1.34 million
Arizona (92%): 1.47 million to 1.65 million
New Jersey (94%): 2.14 million to 1.91 million
Just eyeballing those, and a few other smaller states with a significant number left to count, it looks like we can probably expect a few million more Harris votes to be added, and maybe another million or two Trump votes to be added.
So a quick eyeball estimate is that the 2020 minus 2024 gap should probably shrink by about half when it’s all counted.
As of 10:30am ET on November 11, populous states that have counted less than 95% of the expected votes include:
Just eyeballing those, and a few other smaller states with a significant number left to count, it looks like we can probably expect a few million more Harris votes to be added, and maybe another million or two Trump votes to be added.
So a quick eyeball estimate is that the 2020 minus 2024 gap should probably shrink by about half when it’s all counted.