https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-pregnant-in-2024?tid=1731713186818

I thought there was a fascinating spike in odds on July 3rd so I naturally had to investigate why they would shoot up like that.

I believe I narrowed it down to an interview Kelce did with Jason Sudekis on a skit show around that time

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=19t6ZHlNXW0

Just wanted to share a fascinating insight into how people pick odds on these sites

There’s also a pool for whether Mike Tyson will bite off Logan Paul’s ear, so they go wild there

  • shortwavesurfer@lemmy.zip
    2·
    2 months ago

    The fact that Polymarket is big enough to get people recognizing it just randomly like this is quite frankly amazing.

    • NotNotMikeOP
      3·
      2 months ago

      My boss asked me what the odds were on the Tyson v Paul fight were and this is the best way I knew how to look

      • shortwavesurfer@lemmy.zip
        2·
        2 months ago

        Fair enough. Have you ever placed any bets at yourself? I know here in the United States we are technically not supposed to be able to use it, but you can do so with a VPN as long as you set your location to be outside the US.

        • NotNotMikeOP
          2·
          2 months ago

          Nah, I’m in the U.S. and also have minimal interest in betting. I have more interest in how people bet because it’s so interesting

          • shortwavesurfer@lemmy.zip
            2·
            2 months ago

            Same for me. I pretty much have no interest in betting whatsoever. Betting is just something that’s never really crossed my mind, as something to even consider being interested in.