I may be a old man yelling at the clouds, but I still think programming skills are going nowhere. He seems to bet his future on his ‘predictions’
I may be a old man yelling at the clouds, but I still think programming skills are going nowhere. He seems to bet his future on his ‘predictions’
I don’t think they necessarily need logical reasoning. Solid enough test cases, automated test plans, and the ability to use trial & error rapidly means that they can throw a bunch of stuff at the wall and release whatever sticks.
I’ve already seen some crazy stuff setup just with a customized model connected to a bunch of ADO pipelines that can shit out reasonably functional code, test, and release it autonomously. It’s front-ended by a chatbot, where the devs can provide a requested tweak in plan English and have their webapp updated in a few minutes. Right now, there’s a manual review/approval process in place, but this is using commodity shit in 2025. Imagine describing that scenario to someone in 2015 and tell me we can accurately predict the limitations there will be in 2035, '45, etc.
I don’t think the industry’s disappearing anytime soon, but I do think we’ll see AI eating up some of the offshore/junior/mid-level work before I get to retire.