11/10/2023 Estimated DRS count: 76,038,774 ((using today’s DRSbot total + fix inadvertent DRSbot offline or resets) x 4.175)
The 4.175 multiplier comes from 8/31/2023 Form 10-Q divided by DRSbot 8/31/2023 total: 75,400,000 / 18,059,540 = 4.175
Bloomberg data (to 9/11/2023), DRS estimated counts, and other:
Holding | Number of shares | As of |
---|---|---|
ETFs | 29,138,064 | 9/8/2023 |
MFs, Index Funds, Pension Funds, etc | 33,999,059 | 9/8/2023 |
Other Institutional Ownership | 32,373,815 | 9/8/2023 |
Insiders Stagnant | 14,339,510 | 9/8/2023 |
Insiders | 38,540,578 | 9/11/2023 |
DRS’d - 200k Computershare accounts | 76,038,774 | 11/10/2023 |
Non-DRS - 200k acct 25% stuck in IRA | 19,009,694 | 11/10/2023 |
Other | 61,801,800 | 11/10/2023 |
- Total Outstanding on 8/31/2023 and 10/12/2023: 305,241,294
- Free float on 9/11/2023: 156,850,268
- Thank you to lawsondt for the Bloomberg data to 9/8/2023.
- Added Larry +6000 and Alain +15000 to Insiders number on 9/11/2023.
- “Non-DRS - 200k acct 25% stuck in IRA” is a conservative percentage. The Google share count surveys have suggested the 200k Computershare accounts have 30-40% additional shares stuck in IRAs.
- “Fix inadvertent DRSbot offline or resets” is primarily whale #1’s 1,388,490 DRS shares. Long story of switching subs and losing their DRS share count. So added the “fix inadvertent” column to capture their DRS shares.
I’d hazard a guess that we’re well past Other of 61,801,800 shares in brokerages.
If only 200,000 Computershare accounts hold 76,038,774 plus non-conservative 50% additional stuck in IRAs (38,019,387) = 114,058,161 shares
I don’t think it’d be a stretch to say 4,000,000 retail holders each hold 50 shares = 200,000,000
29,138,064 + 33,999,059 + 32,373,815 + 14,339,510 + 38,540,578 + ~60,000,000 reported short + 114,058,161 + 200,000,000 = 522,449,187
If 4,000,000 hold 175 shares = 700,000,000. 522,449,187 + additional 500,000,000 = 1,022,449,187
So with the float well and truly locked. What is the catalyst going forward? I was thinking if smc went under. Potentially the floor from that sub would overwhelm gme