jabrd [he/him]

  • 12 Posts
  • 251 Comments
Joined 4 years ago
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Cake day: August 3rd, 2020

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  • Right but none of those three present a truly transformative vision because we haven’t reached that point of crisis yet. Bernie’s negotiated social imperialism was dismissed out of hand, Biden represents the decrepit institutions of liberalism that are currently displaying how woefully not up for the challenge of the modern moment they are, and Trump represents the best augur of the future as his policies have presented the greatest shift in policy orthodoxy since, what, probably Reagan right? We’ve already seen glimmers of right wing heterodoxy in the house with Gaetz’s attempt to detonate the debt bubble during the speaker votes knowing full well that might destroy American financial hegemony. Trump’s campaigning on open hostility to the American administrative state that’s built up and since calcified from the new deal/WWII onwards. I could see a Trump win in 2024 genuinely discrediting the Dem party project to the point it destroys it and a new formation is able to take its place over the coming decade or so. Knowing Amerikkka it will be an unholy fusion of left and right populism built out of good paying weapons manufacturing jobs used to enslave the global south while economic decoupling between great power blocs fuel tariff based trade wars and protectionist policies. Go back and look at the Klan’s economic policy in the 20’s and this suddenly looks way more realistic. Especially knowing that our current monocropping agricultural practices plus climate crisis are setting us up for a dust bowl-esque crisis.

    We’re not there yet but tell me you can’t feel that polycrisis cooking


  • Because as we both know there will be a bullwhip effect where these financialized highs will break into depression level economic lows. You could’ve said the same thing about the 1920’s. You can’t turn an entire nation’s citizen base into surplus population and liquidate them (at least not from the inside, outside imperial projects have no issue with attempting this). The deaths-of-despair attritional class war model will result in an eventual backlash. Trump rode that anger into the presidency once already, someone else will pick it up in the future. I’m of the mind we might get another Huey Long type within the next two decades but we’ll have to see where that generalized restlessness and anger goes. Finance capital is sowing but it will have to reap eventually. You already saw it fomenting in 2016 era altright memes that would list heads of financial and media industry and then draw little stars of david next to their head



  • Great point. The bourgeoisie simply pocketing the cash and refusing to actually produce anything is a major issue for the US’s ability to actually accomplish anything. They would need to bring their capitalist class to heel lest they collapse under the weight of their own contradictions, though I’m of the mind that historically empires rarely just collapse suddenly and instead erode over the course of centuries.

    Imo the US is primed for a bonapartist figure and the instatement of a new social compact as we deal with the death of neoliberalism and a new profit crisis. Though I don’t agree with all their conclusions, I think Brenner & Riley are pulling at the edges of something real in their piece I cited, specifically the idea of state dictated capitalism or political capitalism as they call it. I think the mode of state capitalism outlined by China and to a lesser extent Russia wherein a state apparatus utilizes the capitalist class as a patronage network to produce the commodities necessary for state projects could become the dominant economic model of the coming century (tho of course everyone will have their own versions. Europe had social democracy when we had fordism and China will have socialism with Chinese characteristics while we get the megacorp imperium). America’s tendency towards monopoly capital makes me think we might just see a fusion between the private and public sectors where the regulatory administrative state is overtaken by private firms operating on a pRiVaTe-PuBlIc PaRtNeRsHiP basis.

    Historically wars have been a great place to build new social compacts from and from which bonapartist figures can emerge out of. Maybe the current regional conflict in the mid east expands and the US gets smoked by a Houthi/Hezbollah/Iran coalition and we have our own Russo-Japanese war that inspires a retooling of the American economy and plenty of “stabbed in the back” narratives about the ruling elite that failed us. Or maybe we instead experience a political defeat as China’s efforts to link Iran and Saudi Arabia sees the US’s influence pushed out of the region. MBS has already made indications of a desire to go his own way more separate from US hegemony rather than remaining a junior partner. I’m this instance again I could see the US turning its sights south to secure access to oil reserves there if our relationship with the Saudis becomes fraught. A situation like Venezuela-Essequibo could provide the justification to put troops into SA. Either way I think the American brain pan has a unique craving for global violence. We saw that the number one thing that’s tanked Biden’s approval was his withdrawal from Afghanistan and both parties seem intent on jumping in feet first to any conflict that presents itself. The only disagreement is about which wars to be fighting