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Cake day: January 15th, 2025

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  • You won’t get an argument from me re: massive overperformance the spring of 2024.

    Something I did want to point out, however: we began the season with some massive overperformance at the back. At our luckiest, 0.5 GA from 1.1 xGA per 90. Around Gameweek 5 (City), it sharply pulls up. That plus the Saliba red at Bournemouth (not to mention the fact that he missed the Liverpool match due to it) has flattened our defensive performance this season, and it doesn’t look like we’re likely to recover.



















  • The two reds against Brighton and City were the extent of normal bad luck for title winners, and they were completely undeserved. Everything else has been us getting the absolute shit end of the variance stick and that includes today. We didn’t blow them out of the water but we had more tilt and xG - 2024 Arsenal absolutely win this 3-1.

    We’re now relying on Liverpool to trip up, but that’s not impossible. Apparently Alisson has looked bad since coming back from injury and that may work in our favor.