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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: July 1st, 2023

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  • I was just pissing about and downvoted you with the understanding that you were sufficiently decent to survive a downvote without getting upset. I don’t see a reason, however, to performatively downvote that second comment and think whoever did that was unfair, so I’m giving you an upvote.

    I have never sat for an autism diagnosis, I have no idea why that would be relevant









  • silasmarinertoWould You Rather@lemmy.dbzer0.comWyr
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    9 days ago

    I just remembered I hadn’t tried to write anything in J for like a year so I had a go at seeing how far the approximation was from the real values and got:

    (-.@^&1825@-. % *&1825)@(0.1&^)"0 i. 10
    0.000547945 0.00547945 0.0547945 0.459687 0.914098 0.990935 0.999089 0.999909 0.999991 0.999999
    

    So it looks like the ratio probably converges as you increase n (these results are for 1, 1/10, 1/100 etc) but that x 1825 is always higher and starts off wildly off. But these numbers are probably mad squiffy because floating point yadda yadda.

    Edit again: oh yeah. Binomial expansion. Once the negation of your probability gets very close to 1 the initial coefficient will absolutely dominate. Proof left for reader.


  • silasmarinertoWould You Rather@lemmy.dbzer0.comWyr
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    10 days ago

    It’s not P(E) x 1825 that makes no sense because the probabilities are independent. It’s 1 - (1 - P(E))^1825 – your maths would imply that a 1/1000 chance had a 100% probability of happening after 1000 attempts, which is not how independent probabilities work.

    Anyway I’d probably go for it if it were, like, 1/100,000, giving a probability of the bad thing happening once over 5 years at just under 2%


  • I wanted money and I heard there was good money in making computer go boop

    Edit: but first I spent 4 years learning about the subjects I enjoyed most at school, at university – because 18 is way too young to make life choices. Those subjects were not computer ones. No regrets about studying philosophy to this day :)