If we managed an optimistic pace of doubling every year that’d only take… 40 years. The last few survivors on desert world can ask it if it was worth it
Rather amusing prediction that despite the obscene amount of resources being spent on AI compute already, it’s apparently reasonable to expect to spend 1,000,000x that in the “near future”.
Oh ez, that’s only 17 orders of magnitude!
If we managed an optimistic pace of doubling every year that’d only take… 40 years. The last few survivors on desert world can ask it if it was worth it
Rather amusing prediction that despite the obscene amount of resources being spent on AI compute already, it’s apparently reasonable to expect to spend 1,000,000x that in the “near future”.
Doubling every a year is a conservative estimate though.Almost all technological progress has been exponential rather than linear. It would be bizar for ai not to do the same.Edit: i think its going to be hyperbolic growth rather then exponential but thats a personal prediction.
I don’t think you’ve understood what doubling every year means…
You’re right, i mixed up exponential growth with hyperbolic growth where the rate of growth itself increases exponentially.
Truly sorry for that
I still think we may see this kind of growth with ai but my Comment was in error and I’ve since changed it.