Well, so apparently the first possibility I noted is not the case, and the early reports weren’t just yet again blowing smoke.

So we’re down to two alternatives - it’s a legitimate deal that cedes at least some significant Palestinian autonomy, in which case Netanyahu will, as he already has in the past, sabotage it, or it’s just a long term con job that will leave enough of an Israeli presence that they can shift to West Bank style incremental conquest.