Pretty revisionist of you. No one saw the success that Baldurs Gate 3 had. They literally moved up their release date to avoid it getting drowned out.
The head of Larian has even said that they did not anticipate this many sales.
Was this going to be a good game? Yes most people could see that.
Would it reach a mainstream pocket and sell as well as it did? Most people did not predict that.
Just trust him bro. Govt bad, okay?