This could go on for another 10 years.

  • unexposedhazard@discuss.tchncs.de
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    12 days ago

    And the only ones that will actually grow are Chinese companies that dont rely on western owned semiconductor fabs. Kind of odd that none of the “national security” idiots in the US have started ringing the alarms about this yet. At this point China will fully catch up (at least in terms of RAM manufacturing) in just a few years and eat up the entire consumer segment.

    https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/dram/chinas-cxmt-and-ymtc-to-expand-memory-output

    • uienia@lemmy.world
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      11 days ago

      As per Gamers Nexus the Chinese RAM manufacturers have been mandated by the Chinese government to prioritise the majority of their production to data centers now though. The Chinese government has its own AI dreams.

      So no, they care as little about consumers as the rest of them.

    • ulterno
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      12 days ago

      Kind of odd that none of the “national security” idiots in the US have started ringing the alarms about this yet.

      … because they are in on it.

      eat up the entire consumer segment

      Won’t AI companies just fill enough orders to empty all that extra produce?

      • unexposedhazard@discuss.tchncs.de
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        12 days ago

        Won’t AI companies just fill enough orders to empty all that extra produce?

        Depends on whether China is interested in helping to build western datacenters. If big Xi says “no selling to US military contractors” (which all big AI companies are) then that is how its gonna be.

        • ulterno
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          12 days ago

          But then they would also have to stop selling to other companies outside, because they could just have pipes to said AI companies.

          • unexposedhazard@discuss.tchncs.de
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            12 days ago

            If its true that …

            Many consumer electronics manufacturers ‘will go bankrupt’ by the end of 2026 thanks to the RAMpocalypse

            … then im sure that lots of those companies will be more than willing to make restrictive deals with these chinese manufacturers to save themselves. If they violate the conditions of those deals they can get cut off and be forced to go bankrupt again.

            • ulterno
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              12 days ago

              There are quite a few other things that can happen over here.

              Since terminals are still required even if all work is done in the data centres, those companies can now get deals with other AI companies to normally provide devices to them. Or those companies can just normally buy those things off of the distributors. This can in turn greatly increase commodity laptop/desktop prices for us.

              US can try “helping” Taiwan and threaten Xi with that, to relax their laws for said companies.

              Finally, the governments can start requisitioning computing hardware from us. Honestly, I am just counting my days until this, despite the recent govt. chip making progress.

        • floofloof@lemmy.ca
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          10 days ago

          There’s also Chinese datacenters. China will be wanting to compete without depending on foreign companies. And apparently the Chinese companies have been ordered to prioritize sales to datacenters. Plus Apple is talking to them about a potential deal, so the changes of us peasants getting RAM that way seem slim too.

          The only thing that might help is an AI crash, but that will cause a massive ripple of economic damage so none of us will have any money to buy RAM anyway.