NASA increased the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth to 1 in 32, or 3.1%, on Tuesday, but they're now back down to 1 in 67, or 1.5%.

NASA increased the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth to 1 in 32, or 3.1%, on Tuesday, but they’re now back down to 1 in 67, or 1.5%.

  • towerful
    31·
    2 days ago

    Predicting an impact 2500 days in the future - taking into account n-body physics while also trying to measure the objects current position and velocity as accurately as possible - is an impressive feat of science & technology.
    I imagine this is going to change year on year until we have to train drillers to be astronauts.

    • Mesophar@lemm.ee
      7·
      2 days ago

      Well of course, measurements will get more accurate as it’s studied longer, and everyone knows it’s much too difficult to train highly educated and skilled astronauts how to be drillers!

    • artificialfishEnglish
      2·
      2 days ago

      Is it being influenced by other objects its size or just the planets mostly?