Tesla dealerships are getting protested and, in some cases, vandalized. Sales are down on 9 of the top 10 countries Tesla sells in. Yet Tesla stock is up. Twitter is a cesspool of nazi-themed bots, and somehow just pulled in $1bn and raised its valuation back up to $44bn.
How is any of this possible? It seems really artificial to me, but I don’t really understand business.
When highly profitable companies are valued less than companies like Tesla just confirms that in the stockmarket the rules are made up, and the points don’t matter
It’s market manipulation of the highest order. It’s not legal but no one is going to do anything about it.
He gave his stock on those companies as collateral for bank loans and he needs those stocks to hold value otherwise the banks will call the loans and will reduce Musk’s ownership of his companies
That could just as well be the reasons those banks want those companies to have an inflated value.
If those companies lose much value there will be a lot of mess and no one involved is going to get richer of it.
These days a CEO is pretty much someone that markets a company towards the shareholders. Elon is a pretty good marketeer.
A good marketeer? Are you fecking serious?
Musk is a threat to the integrity of the USA and is a dumpster of a human being but he knows how to navigate the circles of government, politics, and investors and gets those people to believe in him and let him do whatever he’s been doing
The value of a private company is a number that can be pulled from their ass, right?
Before: there was an idiot that wanted to pay $54.20 for each of the 800 million publicly traded shares = 44 billion valuation even if the yearly earnings after all expenses (EBITDA) was only 680 million (data public, as required by sec) so the board sued that guy to force him to pay when backed down as that valuation was insanely high and the board would never get such a big golden parachute
Now: we don’t need to publish financial data anymore but CEO says that the company is super profitable, valuation is back to 44 billion, trust us 😉
The PE ratio for most established carmakers is near 7. Tsla is near 120 last I checked. Some bubbles pop.
That’s what we call the dead-cat bounce. The further and faster a stock price falls, the more people think it will go back up and buy in at the new low price, thus at some point there is a short-lived reversal of the decline before it continues as it was. Although much of Tesla’s value recently was from a big jump in November (getting a fancy new oval-shaped office will do that for you), so this is likely as much a correction of that overreaction as it is some protest of or loss of faith in Musk.
Because he is. Tesla has always been overvalued due to him making bullshit announcements that dumbass investors actually believe.
Adam Conover recently made a video explaining this very thing.
Feel ?
Fascism. Once a p single private interest controls the government, they can effectively do whatever they want in the private sector, making them a sure bet for investors
Like when Tesla started lying about their cars fully driving themselves?
It is corruption and market manipulation at the highest possible level because americans elected an russian asset into the office. Shortly after a treaaonous judge claimed president can do whatever they want. And aparrently you are only allowed to stop crime when it’s occurring, not treason.
It’s the largest pump and dump scheme in history and it’s being done in the open.
Yeah, they are literally begging maga idiots to buy TSLA to keep the price up while executives are unloading shares. International sales completely gone. Domestic sales declining. Cybertruck flopped. Tariffs are going to cripple their production. Competing EV are making TSLA look like amateurs. Like, what’s the upside?
After convincing them that EVs were trash no less.
Roll coal!!!
Nah. I have an ev and love it, but it’s not a Tesla.
Yet Tesla stock is up.
Well, over what period of time are you talking about?
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/
For the day, TSLA is up 5.27%.
For five days, down 0.51%.
For one month, down 26.37%.
Year-to-date, down 38.41%.
For six months, up 4.39%.
Like, depends on the start and end time that you’re looking at.
For 1 year, up 45.59% (this is fucking crazy!) For 5 years, up 625.30%
This is not normal for any stock, even if the company was doing good. But the company isn’t doing good.
Their market share is small and hasn’t grown in ways promised. The Cybertruck was a disaster, with almost no customers, only legal in some parts of the world (parts without proper regulations) and a bunch of delays and technical issues. Demand has been decreasing, even before Musks latest public Nazi shit. Revenue is down. There appears to have been fraud in the numbers they did report and those weren’t good to start with. The whole promised future of self driving cars has turned out to be total BS and only the very strict anti-sue terms has saved them on this point. Other companies in the same space are doing better on all fronts.
Yet somehow the stock is worth more than the rest of the market they are in? It makes zero sense and you can bet your ass illegal shit has been done to get it to this point.
Musk has been begging people to please hold on to their stock. And if I know one thing, if the big shareholders start saying shit like that, sell immediately! It’s a sign they are going to sell and you need to get out before all the money is gone.
My impression is that the stock market is not really interested in real-world value. It’s interested in projections of future stock price. And those things should be coupled, but they can be very decoupled sometimes.
I don’t understand enough to known why yet though.
People have the memory of a goldfish nowadays.
I was alive during the 2000 and 2008 market crashes, but also the 2020 non-crash.
It could be that Tesla really has cracked autonomous driving by summer, as Elon claims, and then they will recover a lot of market value.
But more realistically, as the saying goes, even a dead cat bounces.
Markets never go down in perfect lines. There are dead cat bounces along the way.
Checkout how good their fucking reduction to using only cameras, instead of radar or lidar, line everyone else, is working out
Here is a nice comparison between lidar and Tesla’s solution with only using cameras:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IQJL3htsDyQ&t=491You can clearly see the downsides and why those sensors are just not sufficient in any way for a self driving car
Tesla really has cracked autonomous driving by summer, as Elon claims
He really says that??
He must be sooo desperate LMAO
He’s been saying “fully autonomous” by next year for literally like 10 years, lol. Short memories indeed.
I believed in him since like 2001. I stopped believing in him by 2015.
to be fair what they’ve built is amazing, and good enough for 80-90% of the time. but it needs to be 99.9999% of the time and thats not this year. they will release something of course, and rely on remote human intervention, and many people will die. but the media wont mention it and the statistics will be buried, and when it rains or is foggy or too hot etc millions will all be stranded.
What they’ve achieved is irrelevant. They’re never gonna achieve 99.999% with standard cameras + AI for decades. Elon can’t magically manifest the safety of Lidar through hopes and prayers; yet he believes he can, so the only logical conclusion is that he’s a complete fucking moron con artist, only skilled at separating people from their money.
If you don’t understand this yet, print me out some examples of your best code, and email me a list of your top accomplishments from the last week!
The idea that many people will die in Tesla Autopilot accidents and the media won’t mention it is laughable.
I hope that no one will die, but if they do, the media will be all over it. It’s way too high profile. He might be able to bury the statistics, since those are mostly under the control of the federal government.
I agree with @[email protected] – Tesla did some amazing things, and really paved the way for electric vehicles (especially vehicle charging infrastructure). But they went too fast and quality went down and they’re trying to make up for it by Magats buying to support Trump.
the media will be all over it
Tesla is already the most deadly car brand, but why aren’t the media already “all over it”? What makes you think it will be any different with autopilot? https://www.rollingstone.com/culture/culture-news/tesla-highest-rate-deadly-accidents-study-1235176092/
They’re behind other manufacturers in some ways: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=IQJL3htsDyQ
Something that is very easy to forget is that stock value is only very loosely tied to actual company value.
Stock value is based on what people are prepared to pay for the stock, not what the company is worth.
Say that I create a company that makes newspaper hats for tanks in Ukraine, something utterly worthless, I am the only employee and my inventory is just yesterday’s newspapers that I found in the gutter.
My company has zero actual value, but I decide to create 50000 shares of my company, sell one to my friend for €2, and suddenly my company’s market value would look like €100000.
You’ve just explained most Tech Startup unicorns, by the way.
You’ll need to have 500k shares total for the valuation to be 1M
Yes but 50.000 × 2 = 100.000, large numbers get confusing without dots
Sorry I should have been clear when I edited my post, the previous commenter was correct, I messed up the math.
Yep, good catch!
From someone who doesn’t know shit about finance, thank you for the explanation
TSLA has been notoriously impossible to short the last few years. I firmly believe this DD from 5 years ago that Elon figured out a way to pump their stock value through gamma squeezing with OTM call options. The DD is 5 years old, but it was spot on and for a time, the stock just kept going up to where it was inexplicably worth more than it’s next 10 competitors combined. I think the actual sell volume of the world was outpacing his ability to do this for a time, but he is going to continue to try.
https://www.reddit.com/r/options/comments/hk7nqe/tesla_infinity_call_gamma_squeeze/
Phillip Low fired him with cause for attempting to manipulate his company’s stock in 2021.
Elon has repeatedly trolled the SEC and says he does not respect them. He’s absolutely pumping it up to keep it afloat, and it may even return to ath.
Elon is a manipulative piece of shit, and that’s why I do not put it below him to have used his vast wealth to have undermined the 2024 election and believe he had a part in hacking it. Hell, he can’t even play video games fairly as we all already saw.
Good find. I am convinced Tesla is the Enron of our day.
The scheme only works as long as most people keep holding their stock. Once they start selling, it will be a very quick road down.
And with the global outcry against the company, I don’t think that day is far off. They know there’s going to be reduced demand for their products, because even those who don’t feel like they want to boycott Tesla out of principle might still reconsider buying one if they don’t want to deal with the shame/risk they’ll get from others.
And then he will be a dead Hopefully. Through Vanguard and Blackrock the Saudis and Qataris are said to have substantial investments in Tesla. And especially the former are not kind people when it comes to fraud to their disadvantage.
